Jarrell Area Population
2,400

Williamson County Population *

According to the 2000 Census, Texas grew from 16,986,510 in 1990 to 20,851,820 in 2000 reflecting an increase of 22.8 percent growth. During this same time period, the Williamson County region had an increase from 139,551 persons to 249,967 persons which reflected a 79.1 percent change. A variety of data topics for Texas and all the counties is available at: http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/48000.html

The region's race/ethnic distribution in 2000 is estimated by the Census Bureau to be:

Race/Ethnicity	Population	Area %	Statewide %
White	205,994	82.4	70.97
Black	12,790	5.1	11.53
Other	7,923	3.2	3.33
Hispanic *	42,990	17.2	31.99

Hispanic count includes White, Black and other representation when reported.

Population Age: The age distribution of an area can provide valuable insight into the region's economic composition and income potential. By national standards, Texas has a relatively young population. The 2000 Census estimates for Texas show a population composition as follows:

While the median age for Texas was 32.30 years in 2000, the Williamson County area had a median age of 32.30 according to the 2000 Census.

Population Gender: The gender distribution of an area can provide additional insight into the region's overall distribution in the population by male and female. Of the area's population, 124,517 were male which represents 49.8 percent and 125,450 were female which represents 50.2 percent. This compares to the statewide percentage of 49.6 percent for male and 50.4 percent for female.

Special Age Groups and Gender -- Youth and Older Workers: Other age cohorts may be of special interest for Workforce Development Board's summer youth programs and older worker programs. The Williamson County region has 32,705 persons age 14-21 representing 13.6 percent of the population. This compares with 13.3 percent statewide. For the potential older age cohort, 14,843 persons or 6.2 percent are 55 or over in the Williamson County region based on the 2000 Census. This compares to 9.9 percent statewide. Ages 25-44: If the population cohort 45 and over is higher than the state average, this suggests a stable, mature population comprised of mainly "empty-nesters," retirees and the aged. When the 25-44 age cohort is higher than the state average, this is a healthy economic situation since this group contains the greatest share of the labor force. Decreases over time in this group, especially when similar changes are not occurring statewide, can be an indication that people are moving out of an area they consider to be a poor labor market. In Williamson County the total number in the age groups of 25 to 44, was 88,597 or 36.9 percent. This compares to a statewide percentage of 31.9 percent.

Ages 18 and Older: For the population generally considered in the ages to participate in the labor market, the total population who were 18 years and over totaled 14,965,061 in Texas which represented 71.8 percent of the total population. In this study area, the total persons in this age group was 175,065 or 70.0 percent of the total population. Within this age group in Texas the number of males in 2000 who were 18 years and over represented 7,338,177 persons or 35.2 percent of the total population while females age 18 years and over represented 7,626,884 or 36.6 percent. In the Williamson County area, males 18 and over represented 86,081 or 34.4 percent in comparison and females totaled to 88,984 or 35.6 percent.

Veteran Status: According to the U.S. Bureau of Census, the area had 174,993 persons in the population age 18 years and older in the year 2000. Of that number, 23,644 or 13.5 percent responded as being a civilian veteran, compared to 11.8 percent statewide. A "civilian veteran" is a person 18 years old or over who has served (even for a short time), but is not now serving, on active duty in the U.S. Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, or the Coast Guard, or who served in the U.S. Merchant Marine during World War II. People who served in the National Guard or military Reserves are classified as veterans only if they were ever called or ordered to active duty, not counting the 4-6 months for initial training or yearly summer camps.

Poverty Population: The U.S. Department of Census estimated a 2002 poverty population for the Williamson County region for people of all ages at 19,262 persons. That figure represents 6.6 percent of the non-institutional population compared to a Texas percentage of 15.4 percent for people of all ages. The estimated number of people under the age of 18 in the study area in poverty was 4,198 in 1999. This figure was 2.0 percent of all people under 18 in the study area compared to Texas statewide which was 6.0 percent of all people under 18 as estimated in 1999. According to the 2000 Census, the number of families living below poverty status in 1999 were 2,272 which was 3.4 percent of all families in the study area. This compared to 12.0 percent of all families statewide living in poverty status in 1999. The total number of individuals living below poverty status was 11,735 in 1999 which was 4.7 percent of all individuals in the study area. This compared to 15.0 percent of all individuals living below poverty status statewide. For the most recent Poverty information, see: http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/saipe/county.html.

Disability Status: From the 2000 Census, data on Disability Status were derived when respondents reported long-lasting conditions: (a) blindness, deafness, or a severe vision or hearing impairment, (sensory disability) and (b) a condition that substantially limits one or more basic physical activities such as walking, climbing stairs, reaching, lifting, or carrying (physical disability). Disability status was also derived if the individuals in the working age range of 21 to 64 years had a physical, mental, or emotional condition lasting 6 months or more that made it difficult to perform certain activities such as: (a) learning, remembering, or concentrating (mental disability); (b) dressing, bathing, or getting around inside the home (self-care disability); (c) going outside the home alone to shop or visit a doctor's office (going outside the home disability); and (d) working at a job or business (employment disability).

It was reported in the 2000 Census that the area had an estimated 62,228 persons residing there between the ages of 5 to 20 years of age with approximately 3,949 or 6.3 percent with a disability. In Texas, the percent with disabilities in this same age bracket was 7.9 percent. In the working age population group - ages 21 to 64 years, the area had approximately 146,112 persons, of which 19,381 were categorized to be in a disability status. This represented 13.3 percent compared to 19.9 percent in the state overall. For those persons in this age group that had a disability, approximately 13,509 or 69.7 percent were employed. For those who had no disability, an estimated 104,173 or 82.2 percent were employed. For the retirement age group of 65 years of age and older, 16,641 persons resided of which 6,488 were disabled. The percent of this age group with a disabled status was 39.0 percent and this compared to 44.8 percent in Texas overall.

Ages 65 and Older: For the population who are considered to be at the age of retirement or older - 65 years and older, the total number of persons in Texas was 2,072,532 or 9.9 percent of the total population in 2000. This region had a total of 18,389 or 7.4 percent in this older age group. In the same age group of 65 years and over, males in Texas represented 862,181 or 4.1 percent of the total population and females totaled to 1,210,351 or 5.8 percent, while in this study area, males totaled to 7,744 or 3.1 percent of all persons in this area and females represented 10,645 or 4.3 percent of all persons. For other general and special population information from the 2000 Census as well as specific populations topics, link to http://www.census.gov/census2000/states/tx.html.

Population Projections
The Office of the State Demographer for the State of Texas distributes the most widely used population projections for Texas. Projection estimates in these tables and the methodology for migration scenarios have been revised as of June, 2004 by the Texas State Data Center and Office of the State Demographer - now housed at University of Texas San Antonio. Each projection series includes three scenarios resulting in three alternative sets of population values for the State and each county are presented in these projections. These scenarios assume the same set of mortality and fertility assumptions in each scenario but differ in their assumptions relative to net migration. The net migration assumptions made for three scenarios are derived from 1990-2000 patterns which have been altered relative to expected future population trends. This is done by systematically and uniformly altering the adjusted 1990-2000 net migration rates by age, sex and race/ethnicity. The scenarios so produced are referred to as the zero migration (0.0) scenario, the one-half 1990-2000 (0.5) scenario, the 1990-2000 (1.0) scenario and the 1990-2000 (2.0) scenario.
The recommended scenario for most county based projection reporting used is believed to be the 0.5 scenario as most appropriate scenario for most counties in Texas. This scenario has been prepared as an approximate average of the zero (0.0) and 1990-2000 (1.0) scenarios. It assumes rates of net migration one-half of those of the 1990s. The reason for including this scenario is that many counties in the State are unlikely to continue to experience the overall levels of relatively extensive growth of the 1990s. A scenario which projects rates of population growth that are approximately an average of the zero and the 1990-2000 scenarios is one that suggests slower but steadier growth than occurred during 1990-2000 (For a more detailed discussion see http://txsdc.utsa.edu).

Using this projection scenario, the following table represents population projections for Williamson County:

Williamson County Population Projections and Percent Change Since 2000*
Year	Total	% Change	Anglo	% Change	Black	% Change	Hispanic	% Change	Other	% Change
2000	249,967	---	185,788	---	13,185	---	42,990	---	8,004	---
2005	295,655	18.3	214,664	15.5	15,809	19.9	55,195	28.4	9,987	24.8
2010	344,892	38.0	243,926	31.3	18,806	42.6	70,007	62.8	12,153	51.8
2015	398,880	59.6	274,337	47.7	22,197	68.4	87,759	104.1	14,587	82.2
2020	459,222	83.7	306,972	65.2	25,870	96.2	109,053	153.7	17,327	116.5
2025	526,806	110.8	341,926	84.0	29,882	126.6	134,364	212.5	20,634	157.8
2030	600,687	140.3	377,995	103.5	34,063	158.3	164,247	282.1	24,382	204.6
2035	679,340	171.8	413,617	122.6	38,503	192.0	198,836	362.5	28,384	254.6
2040	761,893	204.8	447,740	141.0	43,144	227.2	238,563	454.9	32,446	305.4

*Anglo, Black,and Other excludes Hispanic counts

For comparison purposes, the Texas population projections, using the same scenario methodology, are as follows:

Texas Population Projections and Percent Change Since 2000*
Year	Total	% Change	Anglo	% Chge	Black	% Chge	Hispanic	% Chge	Other	% Chge
2000	20,851,820	---	11,074,716	---	2,421,653	---	6,669,666	---	685,785	---
2005	22,556,027	8.2	11,327,876	2.3	2,588,603	6.9	7,820,842	17.3	818,706	19.4
2010	24,330,643	16.7	11,533,980	4.1	2,754,737	13.8	9,080,466	36.1	961,460	40.2
2015	26,156,761	25.4	11,694,534	5.6	2,913,059	20.3	10,436,556	56.51	1,112,612	62.2
2020	28,005,792	34.3	11,796,479	6.5	3,052,412	26.0	11,882,993	78.2	1,273,908	85.85
2025	29,897,444	43.4	11,830,586	6.8	3,170,981	30.9	13,448,477	101.6	1,447,400	111.1
2030	31,830,579	52.7	11,789,292	6.5	3,268,611	35.0	15,140,088	127.0	1,632,588	138.1
2035	33,789,670	62.0	11,682,021	5.5	3,345,693	38.2	16,934,443	153.9	1,827,513	166.
2040	35,761,159	71.5	11,525,083	4.1	3,403,176	40.5	18,804,297	181.9	2,028,603	195.8

*Anglo, Black,and Other excludes Hispanic counts

Educational Attainment: The total number of persons 25 years of age or older who responded to the level of educational attainment during the 2000 Census was 155,565. Of those persons, the following presents a table on various levels of educational attainment for this region compared to statewide percentages:

Educational Attainment	Count	Area %	Statewide %
Less than 9th grade	7,418	4.8	11.5
9th to 12th, no diploma	9,946	6.4	12.9
H.S. graduate (inc. equiv.)	34,524	22.2	24.8
Some college, no degree	41,031	26.4	22.4
Associate Degree	10,337	6.62	5.2
Bachelor's Degree	38,013	24.4	15.6
Graduate or Prof. Degree	14,296	9.2	7.6

Another useful grouping of these statistics shows that the percent of high school graduates or higher was 88.8 percent for the area compared to 75.7 percent for Texas. Also, the percent with bachelor's degree or higher was 33.6 percent as compared to 23.2 percent for Texas.

* Information comes from the Williamson County Narrative Profile Report, from:

Labor Market and Career Information / Texas Workforce Commission
9001 North IH 35, Suite 103B
Austin, TX 78753-5233
Main:(512) 837-7484               Fax:(512) 491-4966
http://www.cdr.state.tx.us